From Wikipedia:
Verisimilitude is a
philosophical concept that distinguishes between the
truth and the
falsity of
assertions and
hypotheses.
[1] The problem of verisimilitude is the problem of articulating what it takes for one false
theory to be closer to the truth than another false theory.
And how do we establish how one "false theory" can be closer to the truth than another? And, still, "closer" does not make it true. We are therefore dealing in likelihoods, a very grey area over which logicians may have been debating over centuries.
The old wisdom "perception is reality," and how
our philosophers, politicians, religious leaders, PR practitioners love to stroke "perception."